Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricNursing Instructors and Teachers, PostsecondaryMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
Risk Score25.6%25.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile21th21th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$79,940$62,970
Employment74K620K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Biology
Therapy and Counseling
Training and Teaching Others
Assisting and Caring for Others
Psychology
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Education and Training
Chemistry
Sociology and Anthropology
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Customer and Personal Service
Documenting/Recording Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary

37%

total discount

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary

5 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain student attendance records, grades, and other required records.
73%Prepare course materials, such as syllabi, homework assignments, and handouts.
72%Compile, administer, and grade examinations, or assign this work to others.
54%Keep abreast of developments in the field by reading current literature, talking with colleagues, and participating in professional conferences.
52%Plan, evaluate, and revise curricula, course content, course materials, and methods of instruction.

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

8 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain accurate, complete, and correct student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
70%Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.
67%Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate these objectives to students.

Wage Comparison

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education earns -$16,970(-21%) vs Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary
Nursing Instructors and Teachers, PostsecondaryMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
10th
$47,950$47,050
25th
$62,210$53,540
Median
$79,940$62,970
75th
$102,020$79,380
90th
$130,040$100,980

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary20282035
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education20282035
20242030203520402045

Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary

$59,491

from $79,940

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

$46,799

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary offers $12,692 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Nursing

0

Unique to Middle

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Nursing Instructors and Teachers, PostsecondaryMiddle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education