Takeover Tracker
43%medium risk
Online Merchants
vs

54 shared · 13 different

core competencies

33%medium risk
Real Estate Brokers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricOnline MerchantsReal Estate Brokers
Risk Score42.9%32.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile87th56th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)12 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$81,270$72,280
Employment1.1M50K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Interacting With Computers
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Education and Training
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Number Facility
Processing Information
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
NegotiationAI-Resistant
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Active LearningAI-Augmented
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Online Merchants

27%

total discount

Real Estate Brokers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Online Merchants

12 of 15 at risk
89%Calculate purchase subtotals, taxes, and shipping costs for submission to customers.
88%Receive and process payments from customers, using electronic transaction services.
87%Create, manage, or automate orders or invoices, using order management or invoicing software.
85%Order or purchase merchandise to maintain optimal inventory levels.
70%Upload digital media, such as photos, video, or scanned images to online storefront, auction sites, or other shopping Web sites.

Real Estate Brokers

8 of 15 at risk
87%Arrange for title searches of properties being sold.
85%Monitor fulfillment of purchase contract terms to ensure that they are handled in a timely manner.
77%Check work completed by loan officers, attorneys, or other professionals to ensure that it is performed properly.
70%Generate lists of properties for sale, their locations, descriptions, and available financing options, using computers.
69%Arrange for financing of property purchases.

Wage Comparison

Real Estate Brokers earns -$8,990(-11%) vs Online Merchants
Online MerchantsReal Estate Brokers
10th
$46,230$36,920
25th
$60,820$48,200
Median
$81,270$72,280
75th
$110,030$114,220
90th
$147,830$166,730

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Online Merchants2028–2035
Real Estate Brokers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Real Estate Brokers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Online Merchants.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Online Merchants

$46,421

from $81,270

Real Estate Brokers

$48,485

from $72,280

After adjusting for AI risk, Real Estate Brokers offers $2,064 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Online

0

Unique to Real

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Online MerchantsReal Estate Brokers
Find transitions from Online MerchantsFind transitions from Real Estate Brokers