Takeover Tracker
43%medium risk
Online Merchants
vs

40 shared · 25 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricOnline MerchantsSales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products
Risk Score42.9%31.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile87th45th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)12 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$81,270$66,780
Employment1.1M1.3M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

English Language
Interacting With Computers
Communications and Media
Computers and Electronics
Clerical
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Selling or Influencing Others
Economics and Accounting
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Speech Clarity
Mathematical Reasoning
Number Facility

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Online Merchants

27%

total discount

Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Online Merchants

12 of 15 at risk
89%Calculate purchase subtotals, taxes, and shipping costs for submission to customers.
88%Receive and process payments from customers, using electronic transaction services.
87%Create, manage, or automate orders or invoices, using order management or invoicing software.
85%Order or purchase merchandise to maintain optimal inventory levels.
70%Upload digital media, such as photos, video, or scanned images to online storefront, auction sites, or other shopping Web sites.

Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products

6 of 15 at risk
88%Forward orders to manufacturers.
69%Prepare sales contracts and order forms.
68%Estimate or quote prices, credit or contract terms, warranties, and delivery dates.
67%Perform administrative duties, such as preparing sales budgets and reports, keeping sales records, and filing expense account reports.
57%Provide customers with product samples and catalogs.

Wage Comparison

Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products earns -$14,490(-18%) vs Online Merchants
Online MerchantsSales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products
10th
$46,230$37,860
25th
$60,820$49,040
Median
$81,270$66,780
75th
$110,030$97,570
90th
$147,830$134,470

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Online Merchants20282035
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products20282035
20242030203520402045

Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Online Merchants.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Online Merchants

$46,421

from $81,270

Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products

$46,011

from $66,780

After adjusting for AI risk, Online Merchants offers $410 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Online

0

Unique to Sales

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Online MerchantsSales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products