Takeover Tracker
43%medium risk
Online Merchants
vs

46 shared · 14 different

core competencies

37%medium risk
Securities and Commodities Traders

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricOnline MerchantsSecurities and Commodities Traders
Risk Score42.9%36.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile87th71th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)12 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$81,270$78,140
Employment1.1M472K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Communications and Media
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Administration and Management
English Language
Sales and Marketing
Economics and Accounting
Selling or Influencing Others
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Clerical
Deductive Reasoning
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Performing Administrative Activities

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Online Merchants

27%

total discount

Securities and Commodities Traders

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Online Merchants

12 of 15 at risk
89%Calculate purchase subtotals, taxes, and shipping costs for submission to customers.
88%Receive and process payments from customers, using electronic transaction services.
87%Create, manage, or automate orders or invoices, using order management or invoicing software.
85%Order or purchase merchandise to maintain optimal inventory levels.
70%Upload digital media, such as photos, video, or scanned images to online storefront, auction sites, or other shopping Web sites.

Securities and Commodities Traders

6 of 15 at risk
86%Receive sales order tickets and inspect forms to determine accuracy of information.
66%Report all positions or trading results.
66%Review securities transactions to ensure conformance to regulations.
53%Buy, sell, or trade carbon emissions permits.
53%Buy or sell stocks, bonds, commodity futures, foreign currencies, or other securities on behalf of investment dealers.

Wage Comparison

Securities and Commodities Traders earns -$3,130(-4%) vs Online Merchants
Online MerchantsSecurities and Commodities Traders
10th
$46,230$47,080
25th
$60,820$51,600
Median
$81,270$78,140
75th
$110,030$129,480
90th
$147,830$215,210

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Online Merchants2028–2035
Securities and Commodities Traders2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Securities and Commodities Traders has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Online Merchants.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Online Merchants

$46,421

from $81,270

Securities and Commodities Traders

$49,431

from $78,140

After adjusting for AI risk, Securities and Commodities Traders offers $3,010 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Online

0

Unique to Securities

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Online MerchantsSecurities and Commodities Traders
Find transitions from Online MerchantsFind transitions from Securities and Commodities Traders