Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricOperating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment OperatorsHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Risk Score23.0%23.6%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile14th16th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$58,710$57,440
Employment469K2.1M

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Transportation
Customer and Personal Service
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
English Language
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Spatial Orientation
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Depth Perception
Peripheral Vision
Getting Information
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators

25%

total discount

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators

6 of 15 at risk
87%Keep records of material or equipment usage or problems encountered.
86%Test atmosphere for adequate oxygen or explosive conditions when working in confined spaces.
85%Monitor operations to ensure that health and safety standards are met.
84%Learn and follow safety regulations.
84%Locate underground services, such as pipes or wires, prior to beginning work.

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.
88%Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.
88%Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.
88%Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.
86%Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

Wage Comparison

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers earns -$1,270(-2%) vs Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators
Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment OperatorsHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
10th
$40,080$38,640
25th
$47,780$47,230
Median
$58,710$57,440
75th
$75,750$65,520
90th
$100,690$78,800

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators20282035
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers20282035
20242030203520402045

Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators

$45,195

from $58,710

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

$43,884

from $57,440

After adjusting for AI risk, Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators offers $1,311 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Operating

0

Unique to Heavy

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment OperatorsHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers