Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPatternmakers, WoodCutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score24.9%34.6%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile19th64th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$52,520$45,590
Employment180174K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Design
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Engineering and Technology
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Performing General Physical Activities
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Wood

25%

total discount

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

24%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Wood

4 of 15 at risk
84%Estimate costs for patternmaking jobs.
78%Read blueprints, drawings, or written specifications to determine sizes and shapes of patterns and required machine setups.
65%Compute dimensions, areas, volumes, and weights.
59%Verify dimensions of completed patterns, using templates, straightedges, calipers, or protractors.
49%Finish completed products or models with shellac, lacquer, wax, or paint.

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
86%Read work orders or production schedules to determine specifications, such as materials to be used, locations of cutting lines, or dimensions and tolerances.
84%Mark identifying data on workpieces.
67%Examine completed workpieces for defects, such as chipped edges or marred surfaces and sort defective pieces according to types of flaws.
65%Start machines, monitor their operations, and record operational data.
53%Set up, operate, or tend machines to saw, cut, shear, slit, punch, crimp, notch, bend, or straighten metal or plastic material.

Wage Comparison

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns -$6,930(-13%) vs Patternmakers, Wood
Patternmakers, WoodCutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$40,730$35,000
25th
$45,450$38,400
Median
$52,520$45,590
75th
$77,410$52,150
90th
$83,330$62,650

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Wood20282035
Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Wood has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Wood

$39,432

from $52,520

Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$29,811

from $45,590

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Wood offers $9,621 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

0

Unique to Cutting,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Patternmakers, WoodCutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic