Takeover Tracker
vs

43 shared · 8 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPatternmakers, WoodStructural Metal Fabricators and Fitters
Risk Score24.9%29.4%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile19th35th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$52,520$49,900
Employment18053K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Reaction Time
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
English Language
Arm-Hand Steadiness
Operation and Control

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Wood

25%

total discount

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

24%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Wood

4 of 15 at risk
84%Estimate costs for patternmaking jobs.
78%Read blueprints, drawings, or written specifications to determine sizes and shapes of patterns and required machine setups.
65%Compute dimensions, areas, volumes, and weights.
59%Verify dimensions of completed patterns, using templates, straightedges, calipers, or protractors.
49%Finish completed products or models with shellac, lacquer, wax, or paint.

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

6 of 15 at risk
63%Set up and operate fabricating machines, such as brakes, rolls, shears, flame cutters, grinders, and drill presses, to bend, cut, form, punch, drill, or otherwise form and assemble metal components.
57%Tack-weld fitted parts together.
57%Lift or move materials and finished products, using large cranes.
53%Study engineering drawings and blueprints to determine materials requirements and task sequences.
53%Lay out and examine metal stock or workpieces to be processed to ensure that specifications are met.

Wage Comparison

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters earns -$2,620(-5%) vs Patternmakers, Wood
Patternmakers, WoodStructural Metal Fabricators and Fitters
10th
$40,730$37,370
25th
$45,450$44,290
Median
$52,520$49,900
75th
$77,410$59,810
90th
$83,330$70,510

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Wood20282035
Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters20282035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Wood has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Wood

$39,432

from $52,520

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

$35,239

from $49,900

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Wood offers $4,193 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

0

Unique to Structural

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Patternmakers, WoodStructural Metal Fabricators and Fitters