Takeover Tracker
38%medium risk
Police Detectives
vs

84 shared · 5 different

core competencies

27%medium risk
Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPolice DetectivesCriminal Investigators and Special Agents
Risk Score38.1%26.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile75th24th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$93,580$93,580
Employment111K111K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Interacting With Computers

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Police Detectives

38%

total discount

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

38%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Police Detectives

4 of 15 at risk
87%Examine records and governmental agency files to find identifying data about suspects.
85%Record progress of investigation, maintain informational files on suspects, and submit reports to commanding officer or magistrate to authorize warrants.
83%Provide information to lab personnel concerning the source of an item of evidence and tests to be performed.
72%Prepare charges or responses to charges, or information for court cases, according to formalized procedures.
47%Take photographs from all angles of relevant parts of a crime scene, including entrance and exit routes and streets and intersections.

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

4 of 15 at risk
70%Obtain and use search and arrest warrants.
69%Prepare reports that detail investigation findings.
57%Examine records to locate links in chains of evidence or information.
53%Identify case issues and evidence needed, based on analysis of charges, complaints, or allegations of law violations.
49%Analyze evidence in laboratories or in the field.

Wage Comparison

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents earns $0(0%) vs Police Detectives
Police DetectivesCriminal Investigators and Special Agents
10th
$54,160$54,160
25th
$68,390$68,390
Median
$93,580$93,580
75th
$120,080$120,080
90th
$159,410$159,410

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Police Detectives2028–2035
Criminal Investigators and Special Agents2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Police Detectives.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Police Detectives

$57,954

from $93,580

Criminal Investigators and Special Agents

$68,557

from $93,580

After adjusting for AI risk, Criminal Investigators and Special Agents offers $10,603 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Police

0

Unique to Criminal

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Police DetectivesCriminal Investigators and Special Agents
Find transitions from Police DetectivesFind transitions from Criminal Investigators and Special Agents