Takeover Tracker
48%medium risk
Postal Service Clerks
vs

40 shared · 16 different

core competencies

48%medium risk
File Clerks

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPostal Service ClerksFile Clerks
Risk Score48.3%48.0%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile96th95th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 159 / 15
Median Salary$61,630$41,270
Employment78K79K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Clerical
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Sales and Marketing
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Category Flexibility
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Handling and Moving Objects
Trunk Strength
Transportation
Performing Administrative Activities

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Postal Service Clerks

27%

total discount

File Clerks

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Postal Service Clerks

10 of 15 at risk
86%Register, certify, and insure letters and parcels.
86%Complete forms regarding changes of address, or theft or loss of mail, or for special services such as registered or priority mail.
84%Sell and collect payment for products such as stamps, prepaid mail envelopes, and money orders.
82%Weigh letters and parcels, compute mailing costs based on type, weight, and destination, and affix correct postage.
82%Keep money drawers in order, and record and balance daily transactions.

File Clerks

9 of 15 at risk
88%Sort or classify information according to guidelines, such as content, purpose, user criteria, or chronological, alphabetical, or numerical order.
88%Keep records of materials filed or removed, using logbooks or computers and generate computerized reports.
86%Complete general financial activities, such as processing accounts payable, reviewing invoices, collecting cash payments, or issuing receipts.
86%Add new material to file records or create new records as necessary.
86%Track materials removed from files to ensure that borrowed files are returned.

Wage Comparison

File Clerks earns -$20,360(-33%) vs Postal Service Clerks
Postal Service ClerksFile Clerks
10th
$42,600$29,620
25th
$55,410$35,120
Median
$61,630$41,270
75th
$74,050$50,020
90th
$74,050$61,080

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Postal Service Clerks20282035
File Clerks20282035
20242030203520402045

File Clerks has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Postal Service Clerks.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Postal Service Clerks

$31,838

from $61,630

File Clerks

$21,469

from $41,270

After adjusting for AI risk, Postal Service Clerks offers $10,369 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Postal

0

Unique to File

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Postal Service ClerksFile Clerks