Takeover Tracker
48%medium risk
Postal Service Clerks
vs

45 shared · 15 different

core competencies

54%high risk
Gaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPostal Service ClerksGaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners
Risk Score48.3%54.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskHigh Risk
Risk Percentile96th99th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 1512 / 15
Median Salary$61,630$30,460
Employment78K8K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Handling and Moving Objects
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Performing General Physical Activities
Clerical
Assisting and Caring for Others
Documenting/Recording Information
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Interacting With Computers
Computers and Electronics
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Postal Service Clerks

27%

total discount

Gaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners

23%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Postal Service Clerks

10 of 15 at risk
86%Register, certify, and insure letters and parcels.
86%Complete forms regarding changes of address, or theft or loss of mail, or for special services such as registered or priority mail.
84%Sell and collect payment for products such as stamps, prepaid mail envelopes, and money orders.
82%Weigh letters and parcels, compute mailing costs based on type, weight, and destination, and affix correct postage.
82%Keep money drawers in order, and record and balance daily transactions.

Gaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners

12 of 15 at risk
86%Provide race or game information to patrons.
86%Exchange paper currency for playing chips or coins.
86%Compare the house hand with players' hands to determine the winner.
84%Check to ensure that all players have placed their bets before play begins.
80%Conduct gambling tables or games, such as dice, roulette, cards, or keno, and ensure that game rules are followed.

Wage Comparison

Gaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners earns -$31,170(-51%) vs Postal Service Clerks
Postal Service ClerksGaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners
10th
$42,600$22,200
25th
$55,410$24,960
Median
$61,630$30,460
75th
$74,050$36,310
90th
$74,050$45,900

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Postal Service Clerks2028–2035
Gaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Postal Service Clerks has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Gaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Postal Service Clerks

$31,838

from $61,630

Gaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners

$13,948

from $30,460

After adjusting for AI risk, Postal Service Clerks offers $17,890 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Postal

0

Unique to Gaming

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Postal Service ClerksGaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners
Find transitions from Postal Service ClerksFind transitions from Gaming and Sports Book Writers and Runners