Takeover Tracker
29%medium risk
Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters
vs

43 shared · 8 different

core competencies

25%low risk
Patternmakers, Wood

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricStructural Metal Fabricators and FittersPatternmakers, Wood
Risk Score29.4%24.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile35th19th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$49,900$52,520
Employment53K180

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Reaction Time
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
English Language
Arm-Hand Steadiness
Operation and Control

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

24%

total discount

Patternmakers, Wood

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

6 of 15 at risk
63%Set up and operate fabricating machines, such as brakes, rolls, shears, flame cutters, grinders, and drill presses, to bend, cut, form, punch, drill, or otherwise form and assemble metal components.
57%Tack-weld fitted parts together.
57%Lift or move materials and finished products, using large cranes.
53%Study engineering drawings and blueprints to determine materials requirements and task sequences.
53%Lay out and examine metal stock or workpieces to be processed to ensure that specifications are met.

Patternmakers, Wood

4 of 15 at risk
84%Estimate costs for patternmaking jobs.
78%Read blueprints, drawings, or written specifications to determine sizes and shapes of patterns and required machine setups.
65%Compute dimensions, areas, volumes, and weights.
59%Verify dimensions of completed patterns, using templates, straightedges, calipers, or protractors.
49%Finish completed products or models with shellac, lacquer, wax, or paint.

Wage Comparison

Patternmakers, Wood earns +$2,620(+5%) vs Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters
Structural Metal Fabricators and FittersPatternmakers, Wood
10th
$37,370$40,730
25th
$44,290$45,450
Median
$49,900$52,520
75th
$59,810$77,410
90th
$70,510$83,330

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters2028–2035
Patternmakers, Wood2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Wood has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

$35,239

from $49,900

Patternmakers, Wood

$39,432

from $52,520

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Wood offers $4,193 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Structural

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Structural Metal Fabricators and FittersPatternmakers, Wood
Find transitions from Structural Metal Fabricators and FittersFind transitions from Patternmakers, Wood