Takeover Tracker
36%medium risk
Transportation Attendants, Except Flight Attendants
vs

43 shared · 7 different

core competencies

22%low risk
Childcare Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricTransportation Attendants, Except Flight AttendantsChildcare Workers
Risk Score36.4%21.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile70th11th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 142 / 15
Median Salary$37,560$32,050
Employment25K520K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Thinking Creatively
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Performing General Physical Activities
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Training and Teaching Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Transportation Attendants, Except Flight Attendants

27%

total discount

Childcare Workers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Transportation Attendants, Except Flight Attendants

8 of 14 at risk
88%Determine or facilitate seating arrangements.
87%Count and verify tickets and seat reservations and record numbers of passengers boarding and disembarking.
69%Open and close doors for passengers.
67%Provide customers with information on routes, gates, prices, timetables, terminals, or concourses.
67%Issue and collect passenger boarding passes and transfers, tearing or punching tickets as necessary to prevent reuse.

Childcare Workers

2 of 15 at risk
85%Perform general administrative tasks, such as taking attendance, editing internal paperwork, and making phone calls.
70%Keep records on individual children, including daily observations and information about activities, meals served, and medications administered.
45%Organize and store toys and materials to ensure order in activity areas.
45%Sterilize bottles and prepare formulas.
41%Sanitize toys and play equipment.

Wage Comparison

Childcare Workers earns -$5,510(-15%) vs Transportation Attendants, Except Flight Attendants
Transportation Attendants, Except Flight AttendantsChildcare Workers
10th
$29,120$22,900
25th
$32,090$28,000
Median
$37,560$32,050
75th
$41,180$36,960
90th
$49,510$44,560

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Transportation Attendants, Except Flight Attendants2028–2035
Childcare Workers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Childcare Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Transportation Attendants, Except Flight Attendants.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Transportation Attendants, Except Flight Attendants

$23,907

from $37,560

Childcare Workers

$25,095

from $32,050

After adjusting for AI risk, Childcare Workers offers $1,188 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Transportation

0

Unique to Childcare

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Transportation Attendants, Except Flight AttendantsChildcare Workers
Find transitions from Transportation Attendants, Except Flight AttendantsFind transitions from Childcare Workers