Takeover Tracker
29%medium risk

Commercial and Industrial Designers

Develop and design manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Higher risk than 33% of occupations
Checking for existing plan...

How AI Impacts Each Task

17 tasks analyzed

Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

Risk: 54.9%AI: 69.73ObservedTime: 14%

Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

Risk: 27.0%AI: 30EstimatedTime: 12%

Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

Risk: 51.0%AI: 60EstimatedTime: 10%

Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

Risk: 25.0%AI: 25EstimatedTime: 8%

Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

Risk: 49.0%AI: 55EstimatedTime: 8%

Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

Risk: 27.0%AI: 30EstimatedTime: 7%

Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using and maintaining it.

Risk: 49.0%AI: 55EstimatedTime: 6%

Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

Risk: 51.0%AI: 60EstimatedTime: 5%

Research production specifications, costs, production materials and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

Risk: 54.0%AI: 67.5ObservedTime: 5%

Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

Risk: 51.0%AI: 60EstimatedTime: 4%

Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

Risk: 11.0%AI: 5EstimatedTime: 5%

Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

Risk: 47.0%AI: 50EstimatedTime: 4%

Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

Risk: 21.0%AI: 15EstimatedTime: 3%

Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

Risk: 57.0%AI: 75EstimatedTime: 3%

Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

Risk: 41.4%AI: 65.95ObservedTime: 2%

Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

Risk: 41.0%AI: 35EstimatedTime: 2%

Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

Risk: 53.5%AI: 66.2ObservedTime: 2%

Skill Impact Analysis

AI-Vulnerable Skills (6)

Reading Comprehension10%

High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Information Ordering5%

High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Mathematics10%

High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Mathematics10%

Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Memorization5%

Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Programming15%

Programming is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

AI-Resistant Skills (11)

Adaptability/Flexibility85%

Adaptability/Flexibility is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Leadership88%

Leadership is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Complex Problem Solving75%

Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Social Perceptiveness90%

Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Coordination70%

Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Instructing75%

Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Persuasion80%

Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Negotiation85%

Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Recommended Courses

Courses matched to Commercial and Industrial Designers skill gaps, ranked by relevance to your displacement risk profile.

Get personalized recommendations. Answer a few questions about your experience and skills to get course suggestions tailored specifically to you.

Upskill to Reduce Risk

Courses addressing your most AI-vulnerable skills

DataCampbeginner

SQL Fundamentals Skill Track

by DataCamp

21 hours$25/mo4.7Certificate
Addresses vulnerability: Information Ordering

Estimated Impact

-7.1pt risk+$4K/yr salary

AI-Augmentation Tools

Learn to work alongside AI and boost your productivity

Courserabeginner

Google UX Design Professional Certificate

by Google

~5 months$49/mo4.8Certificate
Enhances AI augmentation: Critical Thinking

Estimated Impact

-5.2pt risk+$4K/yr salary

Strengthen Your Edge

Double down on skills AI can't replicate

Courseraintermediate

Leading People and Teams Specialization

by University of Michigan

~6 weeks$49/mo4.7Certificate
Strengthens resilience: Leadership

Estimated Impact

-3.8pt risk+$5K/yr salary

We may earn a commission when you enroll through our links, at no extra cost to you. This helps fund the Takeover Tracker.

Risk reduction and salary impact are estimates based on skill gap analysis, course relevance, and labor market data. Actual results vary by individual circumstance.

Score History

Risk score over 2 scoring runs

-0.8

overall change

Education & Training

Percentage of workers at each education and training level

Education Level

High School Diploma1%
Some College7%
Post-Secondary Certificate11%
Associate's Degree25%
Bachelor's Degree52%
Doctoral/Professional Degree3%

Prior Experience Needed

Work experience required to enter this job

None28%
Up to 1 month11%
3-6 months8%
6 months - 1 year1%
1-2 years9%
2-4 years11%
4-6 years10%
8-10 years11%
Over 10 years10%

Training Provided After Hiring

How long it typically takes to learn on the job

None18%
Up to 1 month36%
1-3 months9%
3-6 months7%
6 months - 1 year22%
1-2 years3%
2-4 years3%
6-8 years2%

Related News

Recent articles about AI affecting this occupation

4 articles

How AI is Replacing Traditional Sketching in Automotive Design

Automakers are integrating AI directly into the vehicle design process, bypassing traditional hand-drawn sketches. This shift threatens the traditional pipeline of automotive sketch artists as studios move straight to AI-generated 3D models.

The Verge AI3d ago

AI Is Coming For The Design Stack

New models and product releases are directly targeting design processes and tools. This threatens to automate core tasks traditionally handled by human designers, fundamentally shifting how creative work is executed.

Forbes AIApr 23

AI is changing how small online sellers decide what to make

Independent e-commerce merchants are now using AI tools to analyze market gaps and design new physical products. This shift allows solo entrepreneurs to bypass traditional market research and product development teams entirely.

MIT Technology ReviewApr 6

AI is Shrinking the Role of Designers in the Product Job Market

A viral debate is exposing deep anxieties about the future of UX and product design. As generative tools blur the lines between disciplines, designers fear their core responsibilities are being automated or absorbed by engineers.

Fast CompanyApr 2

Last scored March 14, 2026 · Based on BLS employment data and O*NET task analysis